Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.068077 0.080740 0.094943 0.112031 0.132009 0.154605 0.182078
2025-03-30 0.048268 0.064387 0.084521 0.111421 0.146315 0.189931 0.248463
2025-04-06 0.036128 0.052903 0.075713 0.108789 0.155278 0.218008 0.308738
2025-04-13 0.027909 0.044220 0.068040 0.105021 0.160571 0.240388 0.363100
2025-04-20 0.023492 0.039843 0.065232 0.107015 0.173414 0.274001 0.436758
2025-04-27 0.019917 0.035932 0.062215 0.107798 0.183972 0.304915 0.509659
2025-05-04 0.017075 0.032613 0.059447 0.108272 0.193687 0.335194 0.584715
2025-05-11 0.014965 0.030139 0.057607 0.109842 0.205136 0.369251 0.669548
2025-05-18 0.013538 0.028637 0.057185 0.113723 0.220905 0.412131 0.773995
2025-05-25 0.011439 0.025425 0.053053 0.110039 0.222286 0.429701 0.835477
2025-06-01 0.010077 0.023455 0.050979 0.109929 0.230211 0.459747 0.922677
2025-06-08 0.008794 0.021413 0.048423 0.108422 0.235087 0.484411 1.002148
2025-06-15 0.008024 0.020404 0.047929 0.111242 0.249308 0.529187 1.126654
2025-06-22 0.007056 0.018759 0.045803 0.110257 0.255504 0.558802 1.224516
2025-06-29 0.006114 0.016989 0.043106 0.107572 0.257624 0.580221 1.307838
2025-07-06 0.005248 0.015237 0.040155 0.103828 0.256824 0.595270 1.379208
2025-07-13 0.004813 0.014537 0.039639 0.105797 0.269339 0.640410 1.520431
2025-07-20 0.004368 0.013721 0.038698 0.106571 0.279101 0.680440 1.654484
2025-07-27 0.003961 0.012933 0.037699 0.107039 0.288161 0.719798 1.791080
2025-08-03 0.003643 0.012347 0.037147 0.108592 0.300108 0.767116 1.951028
2025-08-10 0.003442 0.012078 0.037429 0.112432 0.318384 0.831411 2.157771
2025-08-17 0.003005 0.010966 0.035130 0.108787 0.316563 0.846567 2.247067
2025-08-24 0.002730 0.010333 0.034128 0.108678 0.324219 0.886083 2.400611